![]() ![]() Predicted Winner: Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife) With all of that taken into account, I think his story wins the day, although whatever direction it goes in will hopefully be writing some form of Emmy wrong.Īnd yes, this is the first time I’ve ever rooted against Bryan Cranston in pretty much anything, I know how weird it is. While Laurie deserves a win and has a tape to do it with, Hall has deserved a win since the first season of Six Feet Under, and yet he never won for that show, and has yet to win for Dexter either. That being said, this win wouldn’t be all about sympathy: Dexter’s fourth season paired him with Emmy-winning guest star John Lithgow, and his haunting work in the season finale really was indicative of how amazing he’s been. First of all, we can’t ignore the fact that he did recently beat cancer, which is never a bad way to get Emmy voters to cast some voters in your direction. Hall has a similarly strong submission, and benefits from two other factors. It’s the kind of Emmy submission that’s perhaps even too perfect, but it could be the submission to finally win him his Emmy. In terms of the submission, Hugh Laurie has been carrying House on his back for a few years now, and he’s been fantastic since the beginning: he should already have an Emmy (blame James Spader’s dominance for that one), but if there’s ever a time it’s when he has a two-hour mini-movie like “Broken” which focuses entirely on his character and shows some substantial range. His submission is fantastic, but he’s fighting against a better submission and a better story. What’s bizarre is that Jon Hamm, so fantastic on Mad Men and probably my personal choice here, is probably the least likely of the three regular nominees who could take this home. ![]() Kyle Chandler is fantastic on Friday Night Lights, and Matthew Fox absolutely deserves his first nomination for his work in Lost’s final season, but they’re in a category with a strong incumbent and with various contenders who nearly won the award in the past. ![]() As much as I love Bryan Cranston’s work on Breaking Bad, and as much as I think he deserves a third Emmy, this feels like a year for a perennial bridesmaid to finally break through. However, you’ll have to put a gun to my head to get me to make a final decision on who will win Lead Actor in a Drama Series. Sadly, I don’t think Connie Britton’s submission is enough to get her into the competition, but she’d certainly be my personal pick here, if only out of loyaly for four outstanding seasons. Similarly, Kyra Sedgwick has yet to win this award for The Closer, but there’s nothing noteworthy about her performance, and the same goes for two-time winner Glenn Close. Mind you, it’s possible that January Jones could break into the winners’ circle with a strong submission from a big story for her character, but I think that Mad Men’s best chance is with the Supporting actresses at the end of the day. Combine with the fact that she’s actually pretty great in the role, plus all the previous buzz from other awards, and you’ve got a pretty clear choice. The fact of the matter is that she has won everything she could have won, which means that she has all of the momentum heading into a category where she stands to benefit from her series’ success as well as her previous awards pedigree: I don’t mean it as a diss when I suggest that she is a comfortable winner from a comfortable show, someone who the Academy knows very well who is on a show which fits their sensibilities. In terms of Actress, Julianna Margulies is close to a clean sweep: she won the Golden Globe, she won the SAG Award, and she even won the TCA Award for Individual Achievement in Drama. The Lead Acting awards on the Drama side this year are polar opposites: one has a clear frontrunner and a slightly tired set of nominees, while the other category has a ridiculously packed lineup of potential winners where no clear frontrunner exists and where I’d be happy with anyone winning the trophy. ![]()
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